{"id":4866,"date":"2025-12-09T15:30:50","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T15:30:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/?p=4866"},"modified":"2025-12-09T15:30:50","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T15:30:50","slug":"how-did-chinas-trade-surplus-hit-1-trillion-business-and-economy-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/?p=4866","title":{"rendered":"How did China\u2019s trade surplus hit $1 trillion? | Business and Economy News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div aria-live=\"polite\" aria-atomic=\"true\">\n<p>China\u2019s trade surplus \u2013 the difference between the value of goods it imports and exports \u2013 has hit $1 trillion for the first time, a significant yardstick in the country\u2019s role as \u201cfactory of the world\u201d, making everything from socks and curtains to electric cars.<\/p>\n<p>For the first 11 months of this year, China\u2019s exports rose to $3.4 trillion while its imports declined slightly to $2.3 trillion. That brought the country\u2019s trade surplus to about $1 trillion, China\u2019s General Administration of Customs said on Monday.<\/p>\n<section class=\"more-on\">\n<h2 class=\"more-on__heading\">Recommended Stories<!-- --> <\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">list of 4 items<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">end of list<\/span><\/section>\n<p>Shipments overseas from China have boomed despite US President Donald Trump\u2019s global trade war, largely consisting of sweeping \u201creciprocal\u201d tariffs on most countries, which were launched earlier this year in a bid to reduce US trade deficits.<\/p>\n<p>But China, which was initially hit with US tariffs of 145 percent before they were lowered to allow for trade talks, has emerged largely unscathed from the standoff by stepping up shipments to markets outside the US.<\/p>\n<p>Following Trump\u2019s 2024 election win, China began diversifying its export market away from the US in exchange for closer ties with Southeast Asia and the European Union. It also established new production hubs, outside of China, for low-tariff access.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"why-does-china-have-such-a-large-trade-surplus\">Why does China have such a large trade surplus?<\/h2>\n<p>China\u2019s exports returned to growth last month following an unexpected dip in October, rising to 5.9 percent more than one year earlier and far outpacing a 1.9 percent rise in imports, according to China\u2019s General Administration of Customs.<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s goods surplus for the first 11 months of 2025 was up 21.7 percent from the same period last year. Most of the surge was driven by strong growth in high-tech goods, which outpaced the increase in overall exports by 5.4 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Auto exports, especially for electric vehicles, rallied as Chinese firms muscled in on Japanese and German market share. Total car shipments jumped by more than one million to approximately 6.5 million units this year, according to data from China-based consultancy Automobility.<\/p>\n<p>And although China still trails US leaders like Nvidia in advanced chips, it is becoming dominant in the production of semiconductors (used in everything from electric cars to medical devices). Semiconductor exports rose by 24.7 percent over the period.<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s technological advances have also boosted shipbuilding, where exports rose 26.8 percent compared with the same period in 2024.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"China's biggest trading partners\" aria-label=\"Table\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-1EZHk\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/1EZHk\/5\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width:0;min-width:100% !important;border:none\" height=\"816\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>So, given the hostile global trade backdrop, how has China achieved this?<\/p>\n<h3>Rerouting and diversifying<\/h3>\n<p>Though Washington has lowered tariffs on Chinese imports in recent months, they remain high. Average import duties on Chinese goods currently stand at 37 percent. For this reason, Chinese shipments to the US have dropped by 29 percent year-on-year to November.<\/p>\n<p>Some Chinese companies have shifted their production facilities to Southeast Asia, Mexico and Africa, enabling them to bypass Trump\u2019s tariffs on goods arriving directly from China. Despite this, overall trade between the two countries remains down.<\/p>\n<p>In the first eight months of this year, for instance, the US imported roughly $23bn in goods from Indonesia, an increase of nearly one-third on the same period in 2024. It is widely understood that the rise is down to Chinese goods being redirected via Indonesia.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe role of trade rerouting in offsetting the drag from US tariffs still appears to be increasing,\u201d Zichun Huang, an economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note to clients on Monday. Huang added that \u201cexports to Vietnam, the top [Chinese] rerouting hub, continued to grow rapidly.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As trade with the US has slackened, China has doubled down on developing ties with other major trading partners. That includes a 15 percent surge in Chinese shipments to the EU, compared with the year before, and an 8.2 percent rise in exports to countries in Southeast Asia.<\/p>\n<h3>Weaker currency<\/h3>\n<p>Another reason for China\u2019s trading success is that its currency has been cheap, compared with others, in recent years. A lower renminbi makes exports relatively inexpensive to produce, and imports relatively expensive to consume.<\/p>\n<p>China maintains a \u201cmanaged float\u201d of the renminbi \u2013 meaning the central bank intervenes in foreign exchange markets to maintain its value against other currencies \u2013 with the aim of keeping the price stable.<\/p>\n<p>For years, many economists have argued that China\u2019s currency is undervalued. In their view, that gives exporters a competitive edge by boosting the appeal of cheap Chinese products at the expense of other countries, leading to large imbalances in trade.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, taking into account global inflationary dynamics, the real effective exchange rate \u2013 a measure of the competitiveness of Chinese goods \u2013 is actually at its weakest level since 2012.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"how-has-china-got-here\">How has China got here?<\/h2>\n<p>China\u2019s eye-watering $1 trillion trade surplus \u2013 never before recorded in economic history \u2013 is the culmination of decades of industrial policies that have enabled China to emerge from a low-income agrarian society in the 1970s to become the world\u2019s second-largest economy today.<\/p>\n<p>China established itself as a dependable producer of low-cost manufactured goods, like T-shirts and shoes, in the 1980s. Since then, it has climbed the industrial ladder to higher-value goods, such as electric vehicles and solar panels.<\/p>\n<p>By far its largest sector in terms of exports is electronics. China exported a total of more than $1 trillion-worth of electronic goods around the world in 2024. This follows the pattern of other industrialised countries by starting with simple, labour-intensive goods and then moving into more complex sectors. However, China has done so with unusual scale and speed to cement its dominance across numerous global supply chains.<\/p>\n<p>It also dominates trade in rare-earth metals, which are crucial for the manufacture of a wide range of goods from smartphones to fighter jets.<\/p>\n<p>Twelve of the 17 rare earth metals on the periodic table can be found in China, and it mines between 60 percent and 70 percent of the world\u2019s rare-earth resources. It also carries out 90 percent of the processing of these metals for commercial use.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_4162289\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4162289\" style=\"width:770px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-arc-image-770 wp-image-4162289\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/INTERACTIVE-What-are-China-biggest-exports-trade-2024-world-1765285569.png?quality=80\" alt=\"INTERACTIVE- What are China biggest exports trade 2024 world-1765285569\" data-interactive=\"true\" fetchpriority=\"low\"\/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-4162289\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">[Al Jazeera]<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>For historical context, China\u2019s trade surplus in factory goods is larger as a share of its economy than the US ran in the years after World War II, when most other manufacturing nations were emerging from the ruins of war.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"how-are-other-countries-responding-to-china-s-expanding-dominance\">How are other countries responding to China\u2019s expanding dominance?<\/h2>\n<p>Many are looking for ways to redress the balance.<\/p>\n<p>French President\u00a0Emmanuel Macron, who visited China last week, warned the EU may take \u201cstrong measures\u201d, including imposing higher tariffs, should Beijing fail to address the imbalance.<\/p>\n<p>The EU already imposes additional tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles (EVs), which range from 17 percent to 35.3 percent, for example, on top of its existing 10 percent import duty.<br \/>Germany\u2019s foreign minister, Johann Wadephul, arrived in China for a two-day trip on Monday this week, becoming the latest senior European official to visit for talks amid the country\u2019s rapidly expanding goods trade with Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Before his trip, Wadephul said he planned to raise the issue of tariffs with his Chinese counterparts, particularly those involving rare earths, in addition to concerns about industrial \u201covercapacities\u201d, which he said are distorting global prices for industrial goods.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"will-china-s-exports-continue-to-grow\">Will China\u2019s exports continue to grow?<\/h2>\n<p>Despite efforts by the US and other wealthy countries to diversify away from China, few economists expect the country\u2019s broad-based trade momentum to slow anytime soon.<\/p>\n<p>Economists at Morgan Stanley predict China\u2019s share of global goods exports will reach 16.5 percent by the end of the decade, up from 15 percent now, reflecting China\u2019s ability to adapt quickly to shifting global demand.<\/p>\n<p>More immediately, China\u2019s strong trade performance means the annual growth target \u2013 set by Beijing to guide economic policy and to align regional governments \u2013 of about 5 percent is likely to be met.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China\u2019s trade surplus \u2013 the difference between the value of goods it imports and exports \u2013 has hit $1 trillion for the first time, a significant yardstick in the country\u2019s role as \u201cfactory of the world\u201d, making everything from socks and curtains to electric cars. For the first 11 months of this year, China\u2019s exports [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4867,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia-pacific"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4866","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4866"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4866\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4866"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4866"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inernews.online\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}